Thread: Covid 19 -
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Old 11-09-2020, 01:51 PM   #6322
russellw
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

We'll continue the set of 'all of pandemic' graphs for specific countries with a look at the three EU majors (UK, France, Germany) as well as the African nations.

United Kingdom: it's no surprise that their first phase was severe and lasted until the end of May before the restrictions started to have an impact and numbers gradually declined until late July and they have been climbing again ever since.



Germany: a similar pattern to the UK with a severe first phase that lasted until the end of April before declining until early July and they have been steadily climbing ever since albeit at much lower levels.




France: also a similar pattern to the UK with a severe first phase that lasted until the middle of April before declining sharply until late July and they have been steadily climbing ever since at quite high levels.




Now the African nations.

Algeria: it looks like a reasonable mild first wave that lasted until late May followed by a about three weeks of decline before the second and more severe wave started and peaked in late July. Since then has decreased but not below the level of the first wave.



Angola: almost no cases recorded through until early June but since then it has steadily increased and they recorded their highest daily case numbers yesterday so there is probably still more to come.



Egypt: similar again with low cases numbers recorded through until late April but since it then rapidly increased to a peak in late June after which it rapidly decreased and has just started to creep up again this last few weeks.



Ethiopia: similar again with low cases numbers recorded through until late May but since it then their have been three distinct cluster spikes - a small one in June, a larger one in mid-July to mid-August and the largest one in the latter half of August which has only started to decline this month but case numbers remain higher than in the second spike.



Ivory Coast: similar again with low cases numbers recorded through until late May before a big spike that lasted until the latter part of July and despite being in decline since then it has started to increase again this last week or so.



Kenya: similar again with low cases numbers recorded through until late May but with a gradual climb to a peak in late July and case numbers have been pretty much in decline since then.



Libya: a very late start with almost no cases until June and even then cases numbers remained until early July but they have climbed quite steeply since then and they recorded their highest case numbers this last week.



Madagascar: almost identical to Libya initially with a very late start until early July when case numbers climbed quite steeply to peak in the third week of July before declining since and they seem to have stabilised at reasonably low levels although not at June numbers.



Mauritania: almost no cases until early June when case numbers climbed quite steeply to peak to a peak at the end of June before declining until early August when they have gradually started to climb again.



Morocco: very low case numbers until a small spike mid-June which looked to be contained quite quickly but from late July case numbers have soared with their highest totals recorded during this last week.



South Africa: it looks like only a single, albeit lengthy, wave with a gradual rise to a late July peak before a reasonably steep (but inconsistent) decline and it's now at similar levels to those in late May.



Tunisia: you could possibly call the March-April cases a first wave although at a very low level and it appeared to be well under control until mid August when numbers ramped up significantly and they continue to do so with the highest daily total only a couple of days ago.

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